Income is related to COVID prevalence

As we’ve discussed, Weston has a large number of COVID cases. It’s not clear why this is the case: it could be density, income, an increased reliance on public transit, or just how diseases work.

I thought that I would try to puzzle out one of these variables. Of course, I’m neither an epidemiologist nor a statistician. But I am pretty handy with a spreadsheet!

And it looks to me like income and COVID prevalence have a loose relationship.

I compared the 2016 neighbourhood median pre-tax income and the COVID rate per 100,000 (to June 4, including public and institutional transmission).

As I suspected, the richest neighbourhoods have very little spread of COVID. This makes sense to me: people there drive, are spread out, and can work from home.

The highest COVID rates are in the poorer neighbourhoods—but not all poorer areas have high rates of transmission.

Income is far from the only explanation. The R² value is .14, suggesing that income explains 14% of the variance in COVID rates. But that’s not nothing, and you read it here first.

Please feel free to check my work.


Author: Adam Norman

I am raising my two children in Weston.

One thought on “Income is related to COVID prevalence”

  1. Overlay the map of income distribution in Toronto over top of the Covid Distribution, and you will see a correlation between income and prevalence. It is most stark in the areas with very little covid. Once you get to the areas with lots of covid, you will see that income isn’t the only issue. Density is a factor too. And you really need to weed out the care homes from the map, as they skew the figures.

Comments are closed.