Mike Sullivan and the NDP will easily sweep Weston, if our unscientific poll is to be believed.
Last week, I asked your voting intentions. 63% of respondents said they would vote for the NDP; 29% said they would vote for the Liberals, and 6% said they would vote Conservative. A sole soul said he would vote with her heart and put a ballot in for Green.
These results contradict the analysis of the only pollster I know has written about York South–Weston. ThreeHundredEight.com says that the Liberals have a 56% chance of winning the riding.
There are three reasons why this might be the case: I am wrong, he is wrong, or we are both wrong. I think it’s probably the last–he is not polling (he is modelling), and my poll is vanishingly small and hyperlocal. This poll, such as it is, does agree with my gut though: that Sullivan has broad local support. Realistically, though, it is not at all scientific, for the simple reason that only people in Weston read this humble blog (except for the dudes. Hi, dudes!) but the riding is much bigger than the town.